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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+7.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+4.82vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+2.21vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.48vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.37vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+3.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.96+2.49vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93+1.72vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.79-2.54vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.11-0.89vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.08-3.07vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-5.05vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.18-5.39vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.78-1.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.35-7.86vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.59-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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11.08St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.79Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.49Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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10.72Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.46Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.11Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
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9.93U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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14.74Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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15.08Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Reiter | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Joe Coyne | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 19.2% | 31.3% |
| Cooper Walshe | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Camden Ward | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.