← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.62+7.07vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+9.48vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.93+3.89vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.18+5.50vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.35vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.08vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.52vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.91+2.70vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University1.96+1.56vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-1.25vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.93-0.22vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.35-2.72vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University3.38-7.97vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-5.12vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University2.79-7.86vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.11-5.90vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.78-2.12vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.59-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.07Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
-
11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.89Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
-
9.5Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
-
6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
10.7Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
10.56Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.78Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
-
5.03Georgetown University3.380.2%1st Place
-
8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
-
7.14Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
10.1Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
-
14.88Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
-
15.03Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Scott Mais | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 20.7% | 34.5% |
| Camden Ward | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 20.2% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.