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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.60vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.15vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.62-0.35vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.70vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.45-1.82vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Christopher Newport University0.6028.7%1st Place
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3.15Hampton University0.7218.6%1st Place
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2.65Virginia Tech0.6225.2%1st Place
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4.7American University-0.866.9%1st Place
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4.15William and Mary-0.369.2%1st Place
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4.18University of Maryland-0.4510.3%1st Place
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6.58Catholic University of America-2.711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 28.7% | 24.3% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 18.6% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.8% |
| Luke Manternach | 25.2% | 26.7% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 33.9% | 8.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 22.4% | 4.2% |
| Sophie Grigg | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 22.9% | 22.6% | 4.9% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.