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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+4.31vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+4.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+7.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+4.86vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+5.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.62+1.93vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79+0.22vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.96+2.49vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.11+0.99vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.27vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.93-0.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.74vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-4.66vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30-5.86vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.78-1.22vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.59-1.70vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-11.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.88Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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10.69Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.49Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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9.99Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.1%1st Place
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14.78Christopher Newport University0.780.0%1st Place
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15.3Washington College0.590.0%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Cooper Walshe | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Edward Cook | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Taft Buckley | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Luke Hayes | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 19.7% | 31.7% |
| Camden Ward | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 42.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.