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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+3.76vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+5.58vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.82+4.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+3.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.78+6.92vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.09-0.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22+2.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.94-3.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.21vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-2.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-5.90vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.25vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.71-7.75vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.11-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.92Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.19Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.46University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 19.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Alex Abate | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 22.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.