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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.41vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+0.72vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.36+1.29vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72-0.72vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-2.71+1.62vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.08-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Virginia Tech0.9732.9%1st Place
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2.72Christopher Newport University0.6024.5%1st Place
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4.29William and Mary-0.368.3%1st Place
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3.28Hampton University0.7217.2%1st Place
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6.62Catholic University of America-2.710.9%1st Place
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4.69American University-0.866.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Maryland-0.0810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 32.9% | 25.4% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 24.5% | 26.2% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 4.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.2% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 82.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 34.7% | 7.6% |
| Jared Cohen | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.