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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+8.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+7.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+4.73vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+3.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.58vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47-0.95vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.25vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-0.40vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-1.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-1.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.94-3.48vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.98-0.98vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.78-1.37vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.80-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.11-5.20vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.41Harvard University2.690.0%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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4.51Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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13.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.65Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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12.02Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.12Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 18.0% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Abate | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 23.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 19.3% |
| Jed Bell | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.