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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+8.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+2.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+3.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+4.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.89+3.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+0.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.75vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.71+0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-1.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-2.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-3.42vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.78-2.96vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.22-5.73vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.98-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.1Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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13.04Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.27Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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11.99Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 26.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 20.0% |
| Jed Bell | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.