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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.94+7.36vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.57+7.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+5.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+3.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+0.10vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+0.55vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.69+1.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+1.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.98+1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-2.94vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.38vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-5.19vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.89-6.71vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-2.55vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.22-5.71vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.78-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.88Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.26Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.29Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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11.29Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Alex Abate | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 24.9% |
| Jed Bell | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.