← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.47+5.37vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.93+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.09+4.76vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.71+5.05vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.57+4.63vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.94+2.16vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.82+1.63vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.78+4.79vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.98+3.15vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.11+1.87vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.69-1.64vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.80-2.92vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.54vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.22-3.15vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.67vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.81-7.23vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.05vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.89-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.37Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
4.65Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.76Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.05Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
9.63Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
8.16Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
-
8.63Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.79Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
12.15Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.36Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.85Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
-
13.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
8.77Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
8.14Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 19.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Jed Bell | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 23.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| John Ped | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.