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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+9.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+7.19vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74+9.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.81vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43-0.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+1.51vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-0.72vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-1.81vs Predicted
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112.64-2.47vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-2.42vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-6.47vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.53vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.35-1.50vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.69-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.73-4.71vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.79-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.37Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.532.640.1%1st Place
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9.58Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.47Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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12.38Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Dana Haig | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 24.9% |
| Connor Macken | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 14.4% |
| Zachary Champney | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% |
| Everett Nash | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.