← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
12.64+7.52vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.04+4.81vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+5.63vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.50+4.75vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.11vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.07+4.68vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.43-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.07-1.52vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.45+0.04vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.74+2.16vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.06vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.65-3.34vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.73-1.14vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.45-5.26vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.75-7.28vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.18-1.90vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.35-3.49vs Predicted
-
18Brown University1.69-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.522.640.1%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
8.63Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
8.75Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
-
10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
10.68Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
5.29Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
-
6.48Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.04Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
-
12.16Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.66Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.86University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.74Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
14.1Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
13.51University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.01Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Carter Brock | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 28.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 16.4% | 22.1% |
| Connor Macken | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.