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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+8.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+9.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.16vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+5.12vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+3.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+6.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.89vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-1.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.32vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-4.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.73+1.29vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-4.88vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.74-1.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-5.78vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.86vs Predicted
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162.64-7.54vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.79-4.93vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.35-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.34Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island1.730.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.22Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.462.640.1%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Connor Macken | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 15.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Dana Haig | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Everett Nash | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.