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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.12+9.59vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.64vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+6.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.00vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.20+3.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+0.05vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.13+0.65vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.07-0.28vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-3.57vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.00-6.31vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.83-6.80vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-2.93vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.91-8.77vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.69-4.73vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.28-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.59Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.42Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.28Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.05Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.0%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.69Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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12.07Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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16.05Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Perham Black | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Mason Stang | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 8.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caroline James | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 8.4% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.