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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+2.20vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.08+0.98vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.31vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.25vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.60-3.23vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Hampton University0.7218.6%1st Place
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2.38Virginia Tech0.9733.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Maryland-0.0810.1%1st Place
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4.31William and Mary-0.367.6%1st Place
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4.75American University-0.865.9%1st Place
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2.77Christopher Newport University0.6023.6%1st Place
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6.61Catholic University of America-2.711.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 18.6% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Bender | 33.2% | 25.3% | 21.4% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 3.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 23.1% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 35.6% | 8.2% |
| Aston Atherton | 23.6% | 24.3% | 21.8% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.