← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.00+4.99vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.82+4.66vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.91+3.02vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.07+5.47vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.13+4.37vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.83+0.51vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.46+0.96vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.00vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-0.65vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.28vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.12-1.20vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.63-4.87vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.20-4.27vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.41-5.82vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.69-3.77vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont1.69-4.74vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.28-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
6.99Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
7.66Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.02Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
-
10.37Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
-
7.51Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
8.96Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
-
9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.8Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.13Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
9.73Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.18Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
12.23Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.26University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
-
16.05Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Will Priebe | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Mason Stang | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Perham Black | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 9.2% |
| Caroline James | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 8.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.