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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+11.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+6.34vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+3.96vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+6.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.34vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20+4.14vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07+3.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.69+4.01vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+0.07vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.46-0.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.63-2.62vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.82-4.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.41-3.94vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.83-6.76vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.43vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.28+0.14vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.12-6.42vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.91-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.21Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.0%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.38Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.06Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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16.14Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Caroline James | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 7.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Walter Henry | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Mason Stang | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 60.9% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.