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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+5.31vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+4.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.83+3.41vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.50vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.06vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.20+1.97vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.13+1.38vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.69+2.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-1.79vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.79vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-6.75vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.07-4.45vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.63-7.67vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.69-4.78vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.28-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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12.31Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.59Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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16.03Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Walter Henry | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| William Michels | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Caroline James | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
| Gregory Dillon | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 59.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.