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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+6.71vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.80vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.36vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.00+1.76vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07+2.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.41+0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.69+2.32vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-1.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69+0.44vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.63-4.82vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.91-7.11vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.20-4.93vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.28+0.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-7.78vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.13-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.7Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont1.690.0%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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12.44Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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16.15Salve Regina University0.280.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Caroline James | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 8.7% |
| Walter Henry | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% |
| Mason Stang | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Gregory Dillon | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 60.7% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.