Race 1A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 9.4% 11.4% 11.5% 12.3% 16.6% 15.8% 13.0% 6.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Sawin 11.5% 14.8% 12.2% 14.0% 15.5% 12.2% 11.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 14.1% 12.5% 14.3% 14.1% 14.5% 13.2% 10.1% 5.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Ehnot 24.6% 23.4% 17.6% 13.6% 9.3% 6.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 6.8% 7.7% 13.1% 17.3% 17.9% 14.5% 8.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 17.9% 15.8% 17.2% 14.1% 12.0% 10.8% 7.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 14.5% 12.1% 15.1% 14.7% 13.7% 12.3% 10.3% 4.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 5.4% 8.9% 18.6% 22.7% 20.3% 9.3% 1.2%
Jonathan Gorman 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 3.0% 2.5% 6.4% 10.1% 17.8% 24.6% 21.3% 8.9% 1.1%
Hannah Mercurio 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 5.0% 14.0% 20.9% 28.5% 15.5% 2.6%
Stephen Turocy 0.5% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 5.3% 17.9% 70.7%
Abigail Brooks 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 2.4% 3.3% 6.4% 13.5% 46.8% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.