Race 3A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 10.3% 10.7% 12.2% 13.1% 16.0% 15.7% 12.0% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 12.6% 16.2% 14.2% 14.2% 12.4% 13.4% 10.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Ehnot 24.9% 21.8% 18.9% 12.4% 10.7% 6.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 1.2% 1.2% 2.1% 4.2% 3.5% 5.0% 11.0% 17.2% 21.1% 23.5% 8.9% 1.1%
Samuel Gavula 13.2% 14.5% 13.5% 13.9% 14.2% 11.9% 9.6% 7.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Sawin 12.4% 12.4% 14.4% 13.2% 14.8% 14.2% 11.1% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 18.9% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7% 12.2% 10.4% 7.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 6.5% 12.3% 21.4% 27.1% 14.0% 3.7%
Jonathan Gorman 1.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.0% 3.8% 5.0% 10.5% 17.3% 23.3% 22.0% 10.1% 0.7%
Stephen Turocy 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 4.3% 18.3% 69.2%
Owen Ward 3.4% 3.7% 4.6% 7.3% 8.0% 10.9% 15.4% 21.2% 15.6% 7.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Abigail Brooks 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.7% 6.3% 13.0% 46.1% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.