Race 6A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Amanda Majernik 13.2% 13.8% 12.4% 13.8% 17.8% 14.2% 7.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Ehnot 24.4% 22.8% 17.3% 13.4% 10.2% 6.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Sawin 12.8% 12.5% 13.9% 12.8% 14.4% 14.1% 11.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 3.2% 4.1% 4.3% 7.7% 9.2% 12.3% 18.0% 18.8% 14.5% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Rayne Duff 10.6% 12.1% 12.9% 13.1% 12.0% 15.6% 11.3% 7.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 12.6% 13.2% 14.0% 16.2% 13.3% 12.4% 10.1% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 18.8% 15.8% 17.0% 14.4% 12.3% 10.9% 6.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jonathan Gorman 1.2% 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 9.8% 15.9% 21.6% 23.5% 10.6% 1.5%
Hannah Mercurio 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 2.4% 8.6% 15.1% 20.4% 29.2% 13.9% 2.0%
Quinn Harrington 1.4% 2.2% 3.1% 3.4% 2.8% 5.5% 9.5% 18.7% 23.2% 19.5% 9.3% 1.4%
Stephen Turocy 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 5.1% 17.7% 70.7%
Abigail Brooks 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2% 3.1% 7.1% 13.7% 46.3% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.