Race 14A

old-guard-owen

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nick Aswad 4.2% 8.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.6% 8.1% 6.4% 7.5% 4.9% 1.7% 1.1%
Cam Cullman 11.2% 11.4% 10.7% 9.9% 9.3% 8.0% 8.1% 7.4% 6.2% 5.0% 4.6% 4.1% 1.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Coleman Bowen 8.2% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.5% 7.0% 6.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Alan Palmer 20.2% 16.6% 13.8% 11.6% 10.0% 8.5% 7.0% 3.9% 4.0% 1.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
William Hutchings 5.9% 7.6% 6.5% 5.9% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.6% 5.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.3%
John Wallace 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 6.5% 7.5% 6.2% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 8.2% 7.4% 8.2% 9.5% 7.9% 5.6% 1.8%
Halsey Richartz 9.0% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 7.3% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 6.1% 8.0% 4.8% 5.2% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1%
James Allsopp 3.8% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 3.8% 4.7% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 7.8% 9.6% 10.6% 9.6% 8.5% 2.6%
Billy Hines 1.8% 3.3% 2.0% 3.4% 3.4% 2.6% 3.8% 4.1% 4.8% 5.4% 8.0% 8.2% 12.3% 15.7% 14.9% 6.3%
Benjamin Bainbridge 8.5% 6.7% 6.0% 7.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.9% 9.3% 7.1% 8.9% 6.7% 5.2% 3.9% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Matt Johnson 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 6.3% 7.5% 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 8.5% 7.4% 6.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.9%
Ryan White 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 2.8% 5.1% 5.6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 6.2% 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 12.9% 9.9% 2.9%
Philip Alley 5.3% 4.4% 8.6% 6.7% 5.9% 7.7% 6.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.7% 6.3% 7.3% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 0.6%
Alexander Lovo 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 1.8% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 2.2% 2.0% 2.4% 4.1% 8.6% 19.9% 53.6%
Gene Merewether 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 5.7% 6.9% 12.2% 27.2% 29.2%
Connor Needham 6.8% 5.8% 7.6% 8.7% 5.4% 9.1% 8.4% 7.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.4% 7.9% 5.5% 3.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.