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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.97+1.38vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.30vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.08-0.07vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.36-0.70vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.23vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Virginia Tech0.9732.1%1st Place
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3.3Hampton University0.7216.6%1st Place
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2.72Christopher Newport University0.6025.0%1st Place
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3.93University of Maryland-0.0811.5%1st Place
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4.3William and Mary-0.368.1%1st Place
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4.77American University-0.865.8%1st Place
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6.6Catholic University of America-2.711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Bender | 32.1% | 27.1% | 20.8% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 16.6% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 25.0% | 25.2% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% |
| Jared Cohen | 11.5% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 3.2% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.1% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 24.1% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Arey | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 21.2% | 35.4% | 8.7% |
| Faith Dickerson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 8.8% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.