Race 8A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Rayne Duff 13.8% 13.3% 12.1% 14.8% 14.0% 12.4% 11.1% 4.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.3% 19.6% 16.7% 14.9% 12.7% 7.4% 4.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Sawin 13.2% 15.7% 15.6% 14.6% 15.2% 11.3% 8.0% 4.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Gavula 16.5% 15.4% 14.2% 15.8% 13.2% 11.5% 8.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 17.2% 15.8% 15.2% 13.5% 12.4% 11.9% 8.8% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Quinn Harrington 1.8% 2.7% 2.2% 4.8% 3.9% 6.8% 8.0% 17.4% 21.0% 17.8% 10.4% 2.9% 0.3%
Owen Ward 6.3% 5.3% 7.5% 7.2% 7.6% 11.8% 16.0% 18.1% 11.7% 6.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Fisher 7.6% 8.0% 9.2% 8.6% 12.2% 14.3% 17.8% 12.0% 6.9% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 1.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.4% 3.6% 3.9% 6.0% 10.6% 19.4% 26.4% 16.5% 4.5% 1.0%
Stephen Turocy 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 2.5% 2.9% 4.8% 12.7% 31.3% 43.2%
Abigail Brooks 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 4.4% 6.8% 13.9% 32.8% 24.6% 11.7%
Jonathan Gorman 1.4% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 3.7% 6.6% 7.9% 13.7% 20.8% 21.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.3%
Nikhil De 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 4.6% 13.3% 32.0% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.