Race 9A

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Mraz 20.8% 18.7% 15.9% 15.0% 12.0% 8.9% 5.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 16.3% 16.7% 14.8% 15.7% 13.6% 9.0% 7.2% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 11.4% 14.9% 13.9% 12.8% 14.5% 14.4% 9.8% 4.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Sawin 15.5% 15.7% 14.1% 13.8% 13.2% 12.0% 7.9% 5.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Fisher 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 9.7% 9.4% 14.5% 17.1% 13.0% 6.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.5% 4.4% 7.4% 6.9% 10.6% 12.4% 15.7% 14.3% 13.4% 7.0% 2.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Quinn Harrington 2.7% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 4.8% 6.5% 10.3% 15.5% 21.0% 17.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Samuel Gavula 15.8% 15.1% 15.0% 16.3% 14.7% 11.3% 6.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Mercurio 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 3.0% 6.5% 12.8% 18.5% 24.6% 16.8% 5.4% 0.6%
Stephen Turocy 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 5.0% 11.9% 32.1% 43.7%
Abigail Brooks 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.8% 3.2% 3.9% 6.5% 14.5% 32.3% 26.0% 10.8%
Nikhil De 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 5.5% 13.8% 30.3% 43.7%
Jonathan Gorman 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 3.2% 5.5% 8.3% 17.0% 21.0% 20.3% 11.9% 3.5% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.