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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.15vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08+3.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.65vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.72+0.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57-1.84vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-0.08+0.40vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.35+0.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.19+1.27vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.88-1.99vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.60-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.46-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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5.17Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.91George Washington University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.82Webb Institute0.720.1%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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7.4Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.04Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Delaware-2.190.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Virginia-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.51Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrey Chisari | 22.6% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 25.8% | 22.7% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 18.8% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Heilshorn | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lars Osell | 11.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Laura MacMillan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 27.5% | 32.3% |
| Patrick McBride | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 25.9% | 15.0% |
| Justin Gugliuzza | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.