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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+0.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+0.30vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.94+0.49vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.35+2.27vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.91+0.27vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.42-0.71vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-0.08-4.49vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-1.60-2.35vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.46-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9George Washington University2.350.3%1st Place
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3.17University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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5.49Webb Institute0.940.1%1st Place
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8.27Princeton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.17Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Virginia-0.910.0%1st Place
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8.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.51Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.65Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Timms | 26.3% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 21.5% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 19.0% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Spalding | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Lawrence | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Asher Green | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 24.2% | 14.4% |
| Jack Murray | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 25.7% | 20.4% |
| Justin Gugliuzza | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.