Race 6B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 20.5% 18.8% 19.2% 16.1% 13.0% 7.5% 3.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Timms 27.5% 22.8% 19.9% 13.4% 8.4% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 5.4% 6.7% 9.4% 12.9% 15.8% 15.7% 16.3% 9.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 22.1% 21.9% 18.9% 15.8% 11.5% 5.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 7.8% 10.4% 14.6% 13.9% 16.3% 11.4% 7.5% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Lars Osell 11.8% 14.4% 15.7% 17.4% 15.8% 12.5% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Murray 2.7% 3.8% 2.8% 5.2% 7.7% 11.2% 14.2% 15.5% 16.3% 10.2% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4%
Carly Mraz 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 3.6% 7.7% 10.2% 15.1% 16.6% 15.5% 12.9% 5.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Lydia Sweeney 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 5.8% 9.7% 14.5% 20.3% 17.9% 13.6% 3.1%
Laura MacMillan 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.7% 4.3% 4.1% 7.6% 13.1% 30.8% 33.1%
Abigail Brooks 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.9% 3.7% 3.4% 6.1% 9.9% 15.3% 24.3% 21.1% 12.2%
Justin Gugliuzza 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 1.1% 2.4% 2.2% 3.9% 5.7% 12.3% 21.9% 48.9%
Ryan Magill 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 3.1% 6.7% 11.1% 13.4% 16.9% 18.0% 14.3% 6.9% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.