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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.60+1.71vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+0.28vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.36+0.31vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.08-2.04vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.71-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Christopher Newport University0.6026.2%1st Place
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2.38Virginia Tech0.9732.2%1st Place
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3.28Hampton University0.7215.5%1st Place
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4.31William and Mary-0.368.8%1st Place
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4.76American University-0.866.4%1st Place
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3.96University of Maryland-0.0810.4%1st Place
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6.61Catholic University of America-2.710.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 26.2% | 23.9% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Bender | 32.2% | 27.2% | 21.0% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.5% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 22.6% | 25.2% | 4.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 33.4% | 9.8% |
| Jared Cohen | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 18.2% | 2.6% |
| Faith Dickerson | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.