Race 7B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 19.1% 17.7% 17.7% 15.3% 15.1% 8.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Timms 24.4% 23.9% 18.7% 13.7% 10.2% 5.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 9.9% 13.7% 13.6% 15.7% 15.9% 15.0% 9.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 21.8% 19.0% 18.4% 16.3% 12.1% 7.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 14.6% 11.8% 15.4% 16.4% 16.9% 12.9% 7.0% 2.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 3.4% 3.5% 4.9% 6.7% 8.9% 16.5% 17.6% 16.2% 9.9% 8.4% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Jack Murray 2.3% 3.6% 2.7% 5.0% 5.9% 10.6% 14.9% 17.6% 14.6% 12.6% 7.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Lydia Sweeney 0.9% 0.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 4.2% 7.6% 10.5% 15.9% 20.0% 19.4% 9.3% 4.2%
Carly Mraz 1.7% 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 5.9% 9.3% 13.9% 17.8% 17.1% 13.9% 6.2% 2.7% 0.4%
Justin Gugliuzza 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 4.3% 5.5% 12.2% 24.3% 46.3%
Abigail Brooks 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 2.7% 4.5% 6.5% 9.8% 14.6% 23.9% 23.0% 11.7%
Laura MacMillan 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 2.2% 3.9% 6.0% 6.7% 12.7% 30.1% 35.4%
Ryan Magill 0.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 6.5% 10.3% 14.1% 17.2% 17.6% 14.7% 7.6% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.