Race 8B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 18.8% 19.5% 15.8% 16.1% 14.0% 9.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lars Osell 10.5% 12.9% 14.0% 16.7% 16.8% 12.9% 8.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Timms 24.6% 21.2% 18.6% 14.5% 11.8% 6.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 21.9% 20.1% 17.8% 16.7% 11.1% 7.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 14.2% 12.4% 15.9% 15.2% 17.2% 11.9% 8.4% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 3.1% 4.1% 5.2% 5.9% 9.6% 14.4% 18.2% 14.7% 14.4% 6.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Lydia Sweeney 1.3% 0.7% 2.7% 1.9% 2.4% 4.8% 8.4% 11.0% 13.1% 18.9% 18.2% 13.0% 3.6%
Carly Mraz 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 5.8% 11.8% 13.5% 18.1% 16.6% 12.7% 6.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Jack Murray 1.8% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 5.7% 9.6% 14.8% 17.6% 16.2% 13.2% 6.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Abigail Brooks 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 4.0% 6.4% 7.6% 14.0% 23.1% 24.1% 13.8%
Justin Gugliuzza 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 1.0% 1.7% 3.0% 4.4% 6.9% 12.7% 25.9% 43.2%
Laura MacMillan 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 2.2% 4.1% 5.4% 8.6% 14.6% 25.7% 36.4%
Ryan Magill 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.9% 3.0% 7.1% 10.1% 14.5% 17.5% 18.2% 14.9% 5.9% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.