Race 9B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sofia Segalla 19.7% 17.5% 18.2% 15.0% 14.3% 9.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 19.4% 21.3% 18.3% 16.8% 12.0% 6.0% 3.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Timms 25.7% 21.2% 18.3% 14.6% 11.2% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 11.8% 14.5% 14.4% 17.3% 15.2% 13.0% 8.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 12.1% 12.4% 14.5% 15.7% 15.3% 14.3% 7.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jasper Waldman 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 5.9% 8.5% 14.6% 17.1% 15.8% 12.0% 7.6% 5.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Carly Mraz 3.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 7.0% 9.5% 13.8% 14.7% 17.5% 13.1% 8.3% 3.1% 0.6%
Jack Murray 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.1% 5.5% 10.2% 13.5% 16.5% 17.4% 13.1% 6.9% 2.8% 1.0%
Justin Gugliuzza 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 6.2% 7.9% 18.7% 56.6%
Abigail Brooks 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.9% 3.3% 5.2% 8.2% 11.7% 18.5% 27.3% 18.7%
Patrick McBride 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 4.1% 5.0% 9.0% 11.1% 14.4% 18.6% 16.8% 12.4% 4.4%
Alexandra Starr 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.0% 12.4% 19.8% 26.0% 15.6%
Ryan Magill 1.0% 1.8% 1.1% 2.5% 3.0% 6.7% 9.1% 15.4% 15.0% 16.2% 16.3% 8.9% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.