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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.25vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35-1.05vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.34+1.75vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.69-2.94vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-0.08-0.40vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.09-1.32vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-1.60+0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-0.88-1.72vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.42-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-2.46-1.08vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Pennsylvania2.180.2%1st Place
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2.95George Washington University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.75Princeton University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.06Webb Institute1.690.1%1st Place
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7.6Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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7.68Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.63Monmouth University-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Virginia-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Delaware-1.420.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Pittsburgh-2.460.0%1st Place
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8.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 19.1% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 21.0% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 24.4% | 22.5% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Payne Donaldson | 12.6% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murray | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Abigail Brooks | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 30.3% | 19.1% |
| Patrick McBride | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Alexandra Starr | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 12.3% |
| Justin Gugliuzza | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 58.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.