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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.38+3.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+0.19vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-0.98vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59-0.52vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-1.52vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.21-2.04vs Predicted
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7American University-0.98-1.53vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-1.90-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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2.19Christopher Newport University1.630.3%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.48Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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5.47American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.21St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Walters | 4.5% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 25.8% | 25.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 32.9% | 34.2% | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 40.4% | 31.0% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.2% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.2% | 14.3% | 24.0% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.6% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 23.2% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 2.1% | 2.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 36.8% | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.