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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+1.09vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+1.44vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63-0.81vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.38+0.75vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.59-1.56vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.90+0.36vs Predicted
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7American University-0.98-1.58vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.44Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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2.19Christopher Newport University1.630.3%1st Place
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4.75Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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3.44Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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6.36St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.42American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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3.77William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 39.7% | 28.9% | 19.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.5% | 16.2% | 24.9% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 32.9% | 33.1% | 20.6% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 29.2% | 27.4% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 10.5% | 16.2% | 24.9% | 25.0% | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 18.6% | 65.4% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 35.8% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 10.5% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 26.8% | 21.1% | 10.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.