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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.14vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+1.30vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-1.01vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59-0.70vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.21-1.18vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38-1.47vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.90-0.95vs Predicted
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8American University-2.12-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Christopher Newport University1.630.3%1st Place
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3.3Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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1.99Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.3Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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3.82William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
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4.53Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.05St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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6.16American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 34.9% | 32.6% | 19.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.5% | 15.4% | 28.3% | 25.5% | 14.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 40.2% | 32.2% | 18.1% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.5% | 15.4% | 28.3% | 25.5% | 14.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 7.1% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 26.0% | 24.5% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 21.5% | 35.5% | 17.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 38.1% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 1.5% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 30.6% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.