← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1William and Mary0.21+2.73vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.77+0.03vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.63-0.86vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.59-0.62vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech0.59-1.62vs Predicted
-
6Catholic University of America-0.38-1.46vs Predicted
-
7St. John's College-1.90-0.97vs Predicted
-
8American University-2.12-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.73William and Mary0.210.1%1st Place
-
2.03Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
-
2.14Christopher Newport University1.630.4%1st Place
-
3.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
3.38Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.54Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
-
6.03St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.14American University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constantyn van der Voort | 9.1% | 11.3% | 21.6% | 25.7% | 21.4% | 9.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 37.6% | 35.2% | 17.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 35.8% | 30.7% | 20.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.3% | 14.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 11.3% | 14.5% | 26.2% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 21.0% | 36.5% | 17.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 38.1% | 41.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Juros | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 30.6% | 50.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.