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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+0.88vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+0.98vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63-1.02vs Predicted
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4St. John's College-1.90+1.39vs Predicted
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5American University-0.98-0.30vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59-3.02vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.38-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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1.98Christopher Newport University1.630.4%1st Place
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5.39St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
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4.7American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.06Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 42.7% | 34.0% | 17.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 13.7% | 18.8% | 34.1% | 23.6% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 38.0% | 35.1% | 19.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 21.7% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 1.8% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 18.9% | 39.8% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 13.7% | 18.8% | 34.1% | 23.6% | 8.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.4% | 6.2% | 16.6% | 37.0% | 28.0% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.