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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+1.02vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.59+1.00vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77-1.14vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59-1.00vs Predicted
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5American University-0.98-0.40vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.38-1.92vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.90-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Christopher Newport University1.630.4%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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1.86Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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4.6American University-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.08Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.45St. John's College-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 35.5% | 37.0% | 19.2% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 13.8% | 17.8% | 34.9% | 23.2% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 44.5% | 31.7% | 18.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 13.8% | 17.8% | 34.9% | 23.2% | 9.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Spiccioli | 2.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 23.0% | 40.8% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 3.7% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 35.3% | 27.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 20.5% | 66.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.