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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.40vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+0.07vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.21+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.69+0.06vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.84vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.77vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Virginia Tech0.6730.1%1st Place
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2.07Hampton University0.5838.3%1st Place
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3.52William and Mary-0.2111.8%1st Place
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4.06University of Maryland-0.697.9%1st Place
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4.16Christopher Newport University-0.528.1%1st Place
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5.23Catholic University of America-1.852.7%1st Place
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6.55American University-3.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 30.1% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 38.3% | 32.6% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 11.8% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 0.8% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 2.6% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 25.4% | 19.0% | 3.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 41.1% | 15.3% |
| Ella Lane | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.