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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+1.43vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.68vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.68-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81-1.19vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-1.32vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-0.62vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.23-0.55vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.35-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Christopher Newport University1.110.3%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.98William and Mary0.680.2%1st Place
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2.81Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.68Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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5.38American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.45St. John's College-2.230.0%1st Place
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4.27Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 33.1% | 25.6% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 10.2% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 19.0% | 22.6% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 25.0% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 10.2% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 12.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 16.5% | 41.1% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Lena Fisher | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 16.0% | 71.4% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 29.2% | 20.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.