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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+1.40vs Predicted
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2American University-1.07+3.32vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.69vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-0.31vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-2.19vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.35-1.57vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.68-4.02vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-2.23-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Christopher Newport University1.110.3%1st Place
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5.32American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.81Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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4.43Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.98William and Mary0.680.2%1st Place
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6.38St. John's College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 33.6% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 39.9% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 11.7% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 23.4% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 6.0% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 27.6% | 21.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Whisner | 20.3% | 22.0% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lena Fisher | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 69.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.