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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+1.03vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.97vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81-0.71vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-1.03vs Predicted
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5American University-1.07-0.57vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.35-2.24vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.23-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Christopher Newport University1.110.4%1st Place
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2.97Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.29Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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2.97Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.43American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.76Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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5.51St. John's College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 39.8% | 31.0% | 18.5% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 17.6% | 18.9% | 27.8% | 22.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 30.2% | 30.2% | 23.4% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 17.6% | 18.9% | 27.8% | 22.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 20.3% | 43.2% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 7.0% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 30.6% | 24.0% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Lena Fisher | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 16.6% | 72.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.