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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+2.06vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+0.28vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.18+0.06vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11-2.00vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.35-1.36vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-1.49vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-2.23-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.28Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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3.06Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.0Christopher Newport University1.110.4%1st Place
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3.64Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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4.51American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.5St. John's College-2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 14.1% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 24.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 31.5% | 29.4% | 22.9% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 14.1% | 21.9% | 25.1% | 24.5% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 40.5% | 30.9% | 19.1% | 7.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.6% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 29.5% | 24.6% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 40.5% | 21.0% | 0.0% |
| Lena Fisher | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 18.1% | 70.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.