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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+1.08vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-0.35+1.58vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47-0.29vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47-1.29vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-2.67vs Predicted
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6American University-1.07-1.62vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-4.24-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Christopher Newport University1.110.4%1st Place
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3.58Catholic University of America-0.350.1%1st Place
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2.71Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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2.71Virginia Tech0.470.2%1st Place
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2.33Hampton University0.810.3%1st Place
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4.38American University-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.93St. John's College-4.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 39.2% | 29.6% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 8.1% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 34.0% | 25.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.5% | 22.4% | 29.4% | 21.0% | 6.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 20.5% | 22.4% | 29.4% | 21.0% | 6.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 29.1% | 28.0% | 26.4% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anika Liner | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 19.6% | 59.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Quinn | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 3.8% | 94.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.