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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+1.06vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.67+0.35vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.21+0.53vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.52+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.88vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.81vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Hampton University0.5840.2%1st Place
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2.35Virginia Tech0.6729.9%1st Place
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3.53William and Mary-0.2112.6%1st Place
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4.16Christopher Newport University-0.527.8%1st Place
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4.12University of Maryland-0.696.6%1st Place
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5.19Catholic University of America-1.852.6%1st Place
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6.59American University-3.080.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 40.2% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 29.9% | 30.8% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 12.6% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.8% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 3.4% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 6.6% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 3.2% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 41.6% | 13.9% |
| Ella Lane | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 12.1% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.