← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.11+9.87vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.50+4.02vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.49+3.16vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.39+2.51vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.13vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.76+2.94vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.47+6.22vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.36-1.54vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire1.02+2.65vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.91-1.92vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.55-1.34vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College2.50-5.92vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-0.78vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-5.92vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.07-7.39vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.02vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.36-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.87University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.02Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.16Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.51Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
-
8.94Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
-
13.22Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.46Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
-
9.66Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
-
6.08Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
12.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
-
7.61Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
-
13.98Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
10.33Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hamilton | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 22.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 9.1% |
| Henry Lee | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| James Paul | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 34.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.