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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.21+2.46vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.15vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.58-0.93vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.67-1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.67-0.90vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.78vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46William and Mary-0.2113.6%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University-0.526.8%1st Place
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2.07Hampton University0.5839.1%1st Place
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2.42Virginia Tech0.6728.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Maryland-0.678.3%1st Place
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5.22Catholic University of America-1.853.5%1st Place
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6.57American University-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Stillman | 13.6% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.8% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 25.9% | 17.6% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 39.1% | 30.8% | 18.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Lilyquist | 28.1% | 29.0% | 23.6% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bullock | 8.3% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 3.6% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 43.3% | 13.6% |
| Ella Lane | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 11.5% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.