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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.50+4.95vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.36+4.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.55+6.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+8.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.49+0.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.07+1.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+0.25vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76+0.61vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.25+5.06vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.47+3.23vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.39-4.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11-0.83vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-6.89vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.91-5.69vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.36-4.72vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-8.01vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.02-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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14.06Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.23Maine Maritime Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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10.28Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.57University of New Hampshire1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 36.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 22.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lee | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Selian | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.