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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.38vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.67+1.15vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21-0.43vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58-2.98vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.76vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Virginia Tech0.6729.5%1st Place
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4.1Christopher Newport University-0.527.5%1st Place
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4.15University of Maryland-0.677.3%1st Place
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3.57William and Mary-0.2110.5%1st Place
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2.02Hampton University0.5841.9%1st Place
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5.24Catholic University of America-1.852.5%1st Place
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6.54American University-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 29.5% | 29.2% | 22.1% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 25.8% | 16.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.3% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 10.5% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 41.9% | 28.7% | 18.1% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 42.3% | 15.2% |
| Ella Lane | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 12.6% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.