Race 3B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lukas Edegran 5.6% 7.3% 7.2% 9.1% 9.5% 9.5% 8.7% 9.3% 9.4% 7.5% 8.8% 6.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Michael Russom 4.6% 5.4% 7.4% 6.3% 7.4% 6.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Tedd Himler 31.0% 22.7% 13.9% 11.2% 9.8% 4.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Billing 7.5% 10.5% 8.7% 10.0% 9.6% 10.3% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0% 6.7% 6.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 7.4% 8.3% 10.8% 11.2% 9.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.9% 8.6% 7.8% 4.9% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 4.7% 4.8% 4.4% 4.9% 6.7% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 8.1% 10.5% 12.7% 13.5% 4.0% 0.3%
Conor Lodge 5.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 5.7% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 10.8% 9.7% 9.6% 8.1% 1.9% 0.3%
T. Max Bulger 6.0% 5.6% 6.7% 5.3% 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 9.5% 10.6% 11.5% 3.3% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 8.7% 6.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 9.8% 6.7% 6.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 7.2% 7.2% 9.3% 6.8% 12.0% 13.6% 18.2% 4.9% 0.3%
Brendan Hannon 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.0% 8.5% 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 11.3% 9.4% 9.2% 10.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Pesch 9.9% 11.2% 12.1% 13.1% 10.4% 9.8% 8.6% 8.2% 5.7% 5.2% 3.3% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Patrick Bowers 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 12.1% 84.5%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.8% 1.1% 2.1% 3.1% 7.4% 66.5% 14.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.